Demand Planning

Forecast demand with precision using AI

SKU × Store × Day forecasts combining your sales history, future events, and your team's commercial decisions — in a single source of truth.

33%

Lost sales reduction

25%

Inventory reduction

92%

Forecast accuracy

Base forecast

A forecast built on your data

Celes builds a base forecast at the SKU × Store × Day level from your complete sales history and everything known about the future: seasonality, holidays, weather, local events, category trends, and more. The model learns continuously — every day of operation makes it more accurate.

Demand ForecastLive
ActualForecast
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

Accuracy

96.2%

Enrichment

Your commercial decisions reflected in the forecast

Promotions, price changes, launches, seasonal campaigns — activities your commercial team plans drive future demand. Our forecasting engine recognizes the impact of these activities and automatically reflects the expected demand uplift.

Commercial Signals4 active

Summer Promo -20%

Promotion

+34%

National Holiday — Jul 20

Holiday

+18%

New SKU — Cluster A

Launch

Est.

Price change $2,400→$2,100

Price

+12%
Team control

Full flexibility for your planning teams

Planners can add building blocks or adjust the forecast when they have information the model doesn't. The system is the foundation; team knowledge is the complement.

Team Adjustments2 active
MR

María Ramírez

2h ago

Building block: Back to school +15%

Cat. Notebooks · 42 stores

JC

Julián Cárdenas

4h ago

Manual adjustment: +800 units

SKU Corn Flour · DC Bogotá

AI Agents

AI that monitors and acts on exceptions

AI agents continuously monitor the forecast and detect anomalies — unusual patterns, abrupt changes, atypical behavior. When rules allow, they adjust automatically. With Celes Autopilot, this capability expands even further.

AI AgentAutopilot

Anomaly detected

28% demand drop for SKU-8821. Possible supplier issue.

Automatic adjustment applied

Forecast recalculated. +$42K in recovered sales this cycle.

Celes allows us to ensure patients always find what they need, when they need it, while keeping our finances healthy.

Luis Fernando Apolo

Commercial Director, Fybeca

Case Study

Pycca: 490% improvement in FVA

Specialty retailer in Ecuador with long lead times achieves a 490% improvement in Forecast Value Added.

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Celes Autopilot

Celes Autopilot takes this further.

The forecast doesn't just predict — it self-optimizes. An AI agent continuously fine-tunes parameters, validated by a deterministic optimization engine.

Want to see it in action?

Talk to our team and we'll show you how it works with your operation.